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Documents

May 1985

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'China-Taiwan: Strategies for Reunification: An Intelligence Assessment'

The Central Intelligence Agency assesses that Chinese leaders do not believe that they can achieve reunification in the near future, but that they remain determined to erode US support for Taiwan and want to draw Washington into a more direct role in promoting negotiations.

April 1985

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan-United States: Addressing the Trade Imbalance: An Intelligence Assessment'

The CIA assesses that Taiwan's long-running trade surplus with the United States will continue, despite small efforts on Taipei's part.

March 4, 1985

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan: Thoughts on Chiang's [Chiang Yen-shih's] Removal'

The CIA evaluates the short-term and long-term implications of the removal of Chiang Yen-shih as KMT Secretary-General.

February 10, 1972

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Intelligence Memorandum: Prospects for Stability on Taiwan'

A CIA memo on domestic politics in Taiwan, including the relationship between mainlanders and Taiwanese locals.

March 26, 1980

Memorandum by the China Policy Support Center, 'Further Chinese Statements on Taiwan's Membership in the INF'

A memo outlining the PRC position on Taiwan's participation in the International Monetary Fund. The memo concludes that "China is unlikely to withdraw its stated demand that Taiwan be expelled from the IMF."

September 1982

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan after Chiang Ching-kuo: A Speculative Analysis: An Intelligence Assessment'

The CIA's Office of East Asian Analysis evaluates possible successors to Chiang Ching-kuo and the implications of potential new leaders for Taiwan, the United States, and China.

September 7, 1982

Memorandum from the National Intelligence Officer for East Asia for the Director of Central Intelligence, 'Talking Points for Your Meetings with Secretary's Shultz and Weinberger'

The National Intelligence Officer for East Asia briefs the Director of Central Intelligence on China and Taiwan policy for an upcoming meeting with the secretaries of state and defense.

March 27, 1981

Central Intelligence Agency, National Foreign Assessment Center, 'Deng Xiaoping and the Taiwan Question'

The CIA evaluates Deng Xiaoping's views on Taiwan and how we will likely calibrate PRC policy toward the island.

November 11, 1982

Central Intelligence Agency, 'The Military Situation in the Taiwan Strait: Taiwan's Options and Needs: Interagency Intelligence Memorandum'

Although the majority of the document was not declassified, the summary of the report highlights the military strategies of China and Taiwan vis-a-vis one another and US involvement between the two sides.

January 7, 1982

Memorandum from David D. Gries for the Director and Deputy Director of Central Intelligence, 'Limiting Arms Sales and the Taiwan Relations Act'

David D. Gries advises how to address arms sales to Taiwan while satisfying both Beijing's demands and stipulations contained in the Taiwan Relations Act (TRA). His memo includes copies of the Taiwan Relations Act (Public Law 96-8, Apr. 10, 1979), the Joint Communique on the Establishment of Diplomatic Relations between the USA and the PRC (January 1, 1979), the Statement of the Government of the PRC (January 1, 1979), and the Joint Communique issued at Shanghai (February 27, 1972) as reference documents. 

This document was declassified on November 14, 2007, by the Central Intelligence Agency. Another copy of the same document was declassified by CIA on October 19, 2007.

Pagination