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Taiwan Strait Crises

Chiang Kai-shek

Chiang, Kai-shek (Jiang Jieshi)

1887- 1975

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March 22, 1984	Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan's Succession Politics and the Recent Kuomintang Plenum' Analysts at the CIA explore Chiang Chiang-kuo's designation of Lee Teng-hui as Vice President and other political changes in Taiwan, as well as Beijing's reaction to those changes and the implications for the United States.
January 1984	Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Political Evolution on Taiwan: Implications for the United States: An Intelligence Assessment' Analysts at the CIA write that US support for Taiwan will remain important to the island's political stability and economic growth.
September 1999	National Intelligence Estimate: China-Taiwan: Prospects for Cross-Strait Relations This NIE discusses how relations between China and Taiwan will develop in the three year period from 2000 until 2002.
September 1999	National Intelligence Estimate: China-Taiwan: Prospects for Cross-Strait Relations This NIE discusses how relations between China and Taiwan will develop in the three year period from 2000 until 2002.
October 5, 1989	Memorandum from J. Stapleton Roy to Brent Scowcroft, H. Lawrence Sandall, and George P. Cole, Jr., 'Taiwan Guidelines' J. Stapleton Roy offers a prime on US policy toward Taiwan and how US government agencies should interact with Taiwan's Coordination Council for North American Affairs or with other Taiwanese authorities.
January 18, 1986	Cable from AIT Taipei to the AIT Washington, DC, 'Full Transcription of CODEL Hatch's Press Conference in Taipei' The American Institute in Taiwan reports on the visit of a 16-member Congressional delegation led by Senator Orrin Hatch.
November 1982	National Intelligence Council Memorandum, 'China and Taiwan: Attitudes, Policies, and Options' The United States' interests in its relationships with China and Taiwan would be best served if Beijing and Taipei could reach some form of accommodation or association that would permit the two parts of China to coexist peacefully. The worst outcome would be a military confrontation that forced the United States to choose whether to provide .assistance to Taiwan or to allow it to be overwhelmed by superior Chinese force. Trends over the past four years have moved fitfully toward an eventual accommodation, and they probably will continue in this direction.
May 1985	Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'China-Taiwan: Strategies for Reunification: An Intelligence Assessment' The Central Intelligence Agency assesses that Chinese leaders do not believe that they can achieve reunification in the near future, but that they remain determined to erode US support for Taiwan and want to draw Washington into a more direct role in promoting negotiations.
April 1985	Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan-United States: Addressing the Trade Imbalance: An Intelligence Assessment' The CIA assesses that Taiwan's long-running trade surplus with the United States will continue, despite small efforts on Taipei's part.
March 4, 1985	Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan: Thoughts on Chiang's [Chiang Yen-shih's] Removal' The CIA evaluates the short-term and long-term implications of the removal of Chiang Yen-shih as KMT Secretary-General.